FDI prefers Hydropower

The role of private investment remains crucial for stimulation growth and employment of a country. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is regarded as an important source of external financing in recent years. FDI plays a key role in widening the sources of financing and crowding in domestic investment in countries like Nepal that have financing constraints. Nepal has introduced legal, institutional and regulatory reforms in recent years to attract FDI inflows.

Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB) has conducted a survey to analyze the trend of FDI inflows and existing FDI stock in Nepal. The survey updates and compiles FDI stock by counterpart economies and economic activities. The survey provides comprehensive information on face value of foreign liabilities of Nepalese companies arising on account of FDI. The statistics provided by the survey are used as inpurts in the compilation of Balance of Payment (BoP) and international Investment Position (IIP) of Nepal.

The survey covers 197 firms out of 604 companies that have taken FDI approvals from NRB at the end of 2020/21. The survey shows stock of FDI in Nepal increased by 14.8 percent to Rs. 227.9 billion at the end of 2020/21. Paid-up capital is the major component in FDI stock as it accounts for 53.9 percent of total FDI stock whereas the reserves and loans in total FDI stock accounts for 31.6 percent and 14.5 percent respectively.

The survey says Nepal has received foreign investment from 55 different countries as of mid-July 2021. In terms of total FDI stock, India ranks top position with Rs. 75.8 billion followed by China (Rs. 33.0 billion), Ireland (Rs. 16.5 billion), Singapore (Rs. 15.5 billion) and Saint Kitts and Nevis (Rs. 14.5 billion).

Industrial sector accounts for about 60.5 percent of total FDI stock. Electricity, gas, stem and air conditioning sector constitutes 30.8 percent out of the industrial sector. Similarly, manufacturing sector constitutes 29.5 percent and service sector constitutes 26.9 percent. According to the survey, hydropower sector has been preferred sector for FDI in recent years. 30.8 percent of FDI stock and 40 percent of total paid-up capital is in this sector.

The survey report presents the latest data of FDI stock in Nepal and provides the estimates of inward direct investment position or the FDI stock at book value and country-wise as well as sector-wise distribution of FDI stock at the end of 2021/21.

 

Federal and Provincial Elections: Voters and Polling stations

Election Commission has announced House of Representatives and Provincial Assembly elections date for Mangsir 4 2079 (20 Nov 2022). A total of 17988570 voters will be eligible to vote on the announced date. Among the total voters 8847579 female, 9140806 male and 185 others will be eligible to vote on the day. 10891 voting stations and 22226 polling centers have been approved by the election commission for the November polls.

According to Election Commission Morang district has the highest number of voters i.e. 735525 followed by Jhapa (663311) and Kathmandu (652126). Similarly, lowest number of voters are found in Manang district (6779) followed by Mustang (10957) and Dolpa (22774).

Among the provinces Bagmati Province has the highest number of voters (3471492) and Karnali Province has the lowest number voters (1008403).

Nepal’s Economy to Modestly Expand in FY2023

The country’s inflation will likely marginally decline to 6.1% in FY2023 from 6.3% in FY2022, restrained by tight monetary policy, a normal harvest, somewhat subdued oil prices, and a modest inflation decline in India.

The current account deficit is estimated to narrow to 8.1% of GDP in FY2023 owing to a moderation in merchandise imports amidst stable remittance inflows. Out-migration for foreign employment has picked up, exceeding the pre-pandemic level of FY2019. Imports related to COVID-19 will have substantially decreased and falling oil prices will help lower import bill for Nepal.

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The government’s fiscal policy reflected in the budget speech for 2023 is somewhat expansionary, focused on strengthening agriculture, industry, infrastructure, and social protection. Monetary policy is contractionary, aimed at curbing high credit growth to contain domestic demand, escalating prices, and rising imports.

The country’s inflation will likely marginally decline to 6.1% in FY2023 from 6.3% in FY2022, restrained by tight monetary policy, a normal harvest, somewhat subdued oil prices, and a modest inflation decline in India.

The current account deficit is estimated to narrow to 8.1% of GDP in FY2023 owing to a moderation in merchandise imports amidst stable remittance inflows. Out-migration for foreign employment has picked up, exceeding the pre-pandemic level of FY2019. Imports related to COVID-19 will have substantially decreased and falling oil prices will help lower import bill for Nepal.

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The update highlights that agriculture growth will likely be boosted owing to a normal monsoon, but the ongoing fertilizer shortages may adversely affect paddy production. Industry is expected to grow on increased generation of hydroelectricity and capacity utilization of industries. The report also notes that services growth will likely moderate owing to a slowdown in real estate, wholesale, and retail trade activities, induced by credit control measures and hike in interest rates. But provincial and federal level elections scheduled in November 2022 will stimulate spending supporting GDP growth.

The government’s fiscal policy reflected in the budget speech for 2023 is somewhat expansionary, focused on strengthening agriculture, industry, infrastructure, and social protection. Monetary policy is contractionary, aimed at curbing high credit growth to contain domestic demand, escalating prices, and rising imports.

The country’s inflation will likely marginally decline to 6.1% in FY2023 from 6.3% in FY2022, restrained by tight monetary policy, a normal harvest, somewhat subdued oil prices, and a modest inflation decline in India.

The current account deficit is estimated to narrow to 8.1% of GDP in FY2023 owing to a moderation in merchandise imports amidst stable remittance inflows. Out-migration for foreign employment has picked up, exceeding the pre-pandemic level of FY2019. Imports related to COVID-19 will have substantially decreased and falling oil prices will help lower import bill for Nepal.

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Nepal’s economy is estimated to modestly expand by 4.7% (at market prices) in fiscal year (FY) 2023, down from an estimated growth of 5.8% in FY2022, says an update of the Asian Development Outlook (ADO) 2022, the flagship economic publication of the Asian Development Bank (ADB). Gross domestic product (GDP) growth is forecast to moderate largely reflecting the tight monetary policy for FY2023, necessary to stem the rise in imports, a marked decline in foreign exchange reserves, and inflationary pressure.

The update highlights that agriculture growth will likely be boosted owing to a normal monsoon, but the ongoing fertilizer shortages may adversely affect paddy production. Industry is expected to grow on increased generation of hydroelectricity and capacity utilization of industries. The report also notes that services growth will likely moderate owing to a slowdown in real estate, wholesale, and retail trade activities, induced by credit control measures and hike in interest rates. But provincial and federal level elections scheduled in November 2022 will stimulate spending supporting GDP growth.

The government’s fiscal policy reflected in the budget speech for 2023 is somewhat expansionary, focused on strengthening agriculture, industry, infrastructure, and social protection. Monetary policy is contractionary, aimed at curbing high credit growth to contain domestic demand, escalating prices, and rising imports.

The country’s inflation will likely marginally decline to 6.1% in FY2023 from 6.3% in FY2022, restrained by tight monetary policy, a normal harvest, somewhat subdued oil prices, and a modest inflation decline in India.

The current account deficit is estimated to narrow to 8.1% of GDP in FY2023 owing to a moderation in merchandise imports amidst stable remittance inflows. Out-migration for foreign employment has picked up, exceeding the pre-pandemic level of FY2019. Imports related to COVID-19 will have substantially decreased and falling oil prices will help lower import bill for Nepal.

15th Periodic Plan in Infographics

National Planning Commission (NPC) has come out with Fifteenth Periodic Plan. According to NPC, the Fifteenth Plan has been formulated as the base plan to achieve fundamental rights, provisions including directive principles and policies of the state, the Sustainable Development Goals, global economic outlook, and commitments of the government made on different occasions. A scenario wrapped up with a roadmap of the LongTerm Vision 2043 has been developed for the next 25 years to fulfill the vision of “Prosperous Nepal, Happy Nepali”.
This long-term vision-2043 foresees the graduation from the least developed country (LDC) to a developing country by 2022 by achieving income growth, the formation of quality of human capital, and reduce economic vulnerabilities. It also envisages graduating to the upper-middle-income country by 2030 by achieving the SDGs. The vision is focused on building an equitable society based on social justice. The goals defined in this vision will be achieved by focusing investments in transformative programs through the mobilization of internal and external resources as well as through the development of the allied sectors of the economy.
Strategies of the Long-term Vision 2043 are as follows:
1. To achieve rapid, sustainable, and employment-oriented economic growth,
2. To ensure affordable and quality health care and education,
3. To develop internal and international interconnectivity and sustainable
cities/settlements,
4. To increase production and productivity,
5. To provide a comprehensive, sustainable and productive social security and
protection,
6. To build a just society characterized by poverty alleviation and socio-economic
equality,
7. To conserve and utilize natural resources and improve resilience, and27
8. To strengthen public services, enhance balanced provincial development, and promote national unity.